Where will this occur? Somewhere humans have close contact with wild animals, carrying such viruses-for instance, in or near a wet market. What sort of animal? Very possibly a primate or a bat. What sort of virus? Very possibly an influenza or a coronavirus. It will be caused by a zoonotic virus, newly emerged from an animal. What they said was: Yes, there will be a Next Big One, a severe pandemic event. It was also predicted by me, in my 2012 book Spillover, not because I was prescient, but because I interviewed many of those scientists and collated their predictions. It was predicted, with some degree of precision, by certain scientists who study zoonotic diseases (those caused by animal infections transmissible to humans). The COVID-19 pandemic is a devastating event that was heartbreakingly predictable. THE GREAT REMINDER: Zoonoses, Pandemic, and Human Connectedness His articles have also appeared in National Geographic, Harper's, Rolling Stone, the New York Times Book Review, The New Yorker, and other periodicals. David Quammen is an American science, nature, and travel writer and the author of fifteen books.įor 15 years he wrote a column called "Natural Acts" for Outside magazine.
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